Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,715$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(386 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,306.5}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 68.6)}}\) (asimptote \(5,306.5\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $55$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(2.57 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58.3}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 57.9)}}\) (asimptote \(58.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $96$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $168,061$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(635 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,011,899.2}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 138.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,011,899.2\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,844$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(46.2 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,460.8}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 83.5)}}\) (asimptote \(4,460.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $83,218$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,071$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(101 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,470.8}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 78.7)}}\) (asimptote \(2,470.8\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $51$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(2.15 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{131.7}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 88.7)}}\) (asimptote \(131.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,178$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,189$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(207 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,126.8}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 85.6)}}\) (asimptote \(9,126.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $176$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(10.1 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,326.7}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 192.0)}}\) (asimptote \(2,326.7\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,696$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $71,299$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(1.24 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{106,821.3}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 99.0)}}\) (asimptote \(106,821.3\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,120$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(74.5 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.0\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $48,891$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,606$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(11 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,020.6}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 86.2)}}\) (asimptote \(6,020.6\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $129$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(1.42 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{131.9}{1 + 10^{-0.065 (t - 72.8)}}\) (asimptote \(131.9\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,750$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,301$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(35.1 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,374.9}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 117.3)}}\) (asimptote \(3,374.9\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $15$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(0.316 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.7\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $657$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $14,657$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(1.49 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{14,422.3}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 66.1)}}\) (asimptote \(14,422.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $928$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(181 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{922.5}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 50.0)}}\) (asimptote \(922.5\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,387$ on 2020-07-02
